How is AI likely to impact eCommerce?

Naturally the best person to ask was Chat GPT and here’s what it came up with…with my comments in bold…:

AI brings several key advantages to e-commerce, helping businesses improve customer experiences, streamline operations, and boost sales. Some of the main potential benefits include:

1. **Personalized Shopping Experiences**: AI can analyze user behavior, preferences, and past purchases to recommend products tailored to individual customers, enhancing engagement and driving conversions. (Quite well established now as a focus area and there are some seriously good offerings from third party platforms such as Nosto, Klevu, Bloomreach and Dynamic Yield among many others, while main eCommerce platforms such as Adobe Commerce have also been making good progress catching up with their in-house product recommendations tool. Results tend to be very impressive but there can be page load issues sometimes to upset Google’s core web vitals. The future - certainly for multi-brand/product merchants - is probably hyper personalisation - presenting almost a completely different user experience for shoppers based on their behaviour).

2. **Enhanced Customer Service with Chatbots**: AI-powered chatbots and virtual assistants provide real-time customer support, handling inquiries, helping with orders, and resolving issues 24/7, reducing the need for human agents. (Perhaps it’s just me but I’m somewhat sceptical about the future of chatbots for handling customer queries. If it’s just a “where’s my order” enquiry - which tends to constitute a high proportion of contacts - then fine: AI can probably interrogate shipping partner systems to come up with an estimated arrival time. However I really appreciate merchants who take the trouble to contact you in person - from a named CX agent. Better still a personal apology from the boss almost always placates an unhappy customer. Certainly if the customer has a complaint it really makes sense to handle and resolve it in person and I just don't see AI improving on that. If a business wants to see customer service as a cost to reduce rather than an investment leading to higher return purchase rates, better reviews and word of mouth then good luck!)

3. **Improved Search and Discovery**: AI-driven search engines, including image and voice search, help customers find products more easily by understanding natural language queries and user intent better than traditional methods. (Current site search engines are certainly getting better with help from AI - predictive text showing suggestions with images are fairly commonplace and getting better. Start typing into the Osprey site search for example and you can see predictive product images as you type. With Google offering reasonably useful voice search I wonder how it will be before merchants are able to add that to site search functionality. As for Google, Bing etc the AI arms race is well under way of course with Bing offering GPT4 for free if you make it the default search. The benefits for consumers and marketers - beyond obvious improvements to relevance and improved ROI - are still largely theoretical. I have no doubt that Apple Intelligence will move things forward in a user-centred way - image searches on the phone’s camera for example seem to be a use case which could take off).

4. **Dynamic Pricing**: AI can analyze market trends, competitor pricing, and demand fluctuations to automatically adjust prices in real time, maximizing sales and profitability while staying competitive. (I suspect this will be a very niche use case - for most brands and retailers pricing is an integral part of the brand and controlled carefully as such. There are clearly some businesses where treating pricing and margin as fluid within a pure market structure would work - Ticketmaster stands out already although seemingly more disliked by the day, and travel and holidays may adopt this more. As ever the FT has a nice summary. There are multiple vendors, most of which are platform agnostic - I met Pricing Hub recently who have a nice product).

5. **Inventory Management and Demand Forecasting**: AI helps optimize inventory by predicting demand more accurately, reducing overstock or stockouts, and improving supply chain efficiency. (I have no doubt the major ERP providers are working flat out on this. So much forecasting is based on experience and feel rather than pure data - and has always been as much art as science - but I look forward to seeing how AI can impact accuracy. Obviously evergreen products should be far more predictable than seasonal one-offs so maybe most of the impact will be felt there. There are also so many externalities which can affect seasonal sales periods - anyone who’s been trying to forecast Black Friday sales during recent times (cost of living crises, Covid, Brexit) will know what I mean).

6. **Fraud Detection and Prevention**: AI algorithms can detect unusual patterns in transactions and identify potential fraudulent activities, offering enhanced security for both customers and retailers. (This has been an increasingly major focus for payment providers and most already have reasonably good algos for spotting fraud - but bot fraud such as “carding” can cause real problems if timed for the weekend for example. If next generation AI can stamp this out fully then most eCommerce teams will sleep better at night)

7. **Targeted Marketing and Advertising**: By analyzing customer data, AI enables more precise marketing campaigns, optimizing ad spend by delivering personalized ads to specific audience segments most likely to convert. (Obviously a huge area of discussion. It’s interesting to see digital marketing teams who were initially reluctant to hand over control to Google’s Performance Max gradually migrate more of their budgets over - the data doesn’t lie. AI generated ads are logically a large part of this and there’s often a tension playing out between brand and performance marketing. I would add that Meta seem to be slightly behind Google in Gen AI - we had to pull some ads with wholly inappropriate autogenerated background images - but they will no doubt catch up before long).

8. **Automation of Routine Tasks**: AI can automate various back-end tasks such as order processing, sorting reviews, and handling returns, allowing businesses to operate more efficiently and reduce operational costs. (Ah yes - the routine tasks which AI will take off our hands so we can all go to the beach. There may well be small improvements to be made, but humans will probably be picking, packing, sorting out returns and removing rude reviews from the website for years to come).

9. **Customer Insights and Analytics**: AI analyzes large datasets to provide actionable insights about customer behavior, preferences, and trends, helping businesses make data-driven decisions for product development and marketing strategies. (In addition to regular tools such as GA4, most personalised merchandising platforms produce a huge amount of data - see 1. above - and may be a better place to look for actionable insights. Equally the myriad of UX analytical tools - Hotjar, Smartlook, Crazy Egg and so on - are all great tools to use. Finding the time to make the most of them is usually the issue but always worth it. If you can afford it guided in-person UX sessions are also incredibly powerful).


10. **Visual Search and Augmented Reality**: AI enhances visual search capabilities and can be integrated into AR platforms, allowing customers to try products virtually, boosting customer confidence and reducing return rates. (AR is mostly in the “we shall see” bucket for me - but I do like some “see on me” and “see in your home” features but they seem to be slow to take off).

These AI-driven innovations help e-commerce platforms deliver better experiences, increase operational efficiency, and ultimately drive revenue growth. (It a good list and no doubt AI will continue to play a substantial part in the lives of eCommerce professionals and the experience of online shoppers. However, they do miss out one of the most important areas for AI in eCommerce: auto-translation into foreign languages. Things have improved so much over the last few years - Google Translate for example is now really good - and the latest generative AI platforms all offer translations which are good and getting better as nuances are learned. Great for website translations - Shopify do a pretty good job of this already - and potentially a very neat way of handling multi-national customer communications and service. Now all we need is for the UK to rejoin the European Union’s Single Market…).

Which are the greenest fulfilment partners for eCommerce merchants?

Royal Mail testing “last mile” electric vehicles

Increasingly customers in the UK and EU are demanding higher environmental standards from merchants. Making the effort to find a fulfilment partner who can offer not just a reliable service at reasonable cost, but also one which works to minimise its environmental impact is well worth it. I would argue it’s also just the right thing to do. The good news is that most delivery companies in the UK are focused on reducing their carbon footprint, using renewable energy, adopting electric vehicles, and implementing sustainable practices. Here are some of the leading eco-friendly delivery companies in the UK:

1. DHL
  - Eco Initiatives: DHL aims to achieve zero emissions by 2050 and is investing heavily in electric vehicles, bicycle couriers, and carbon-neutral warehouses. They have a GoGreen programme that allows customers to offset their carbon emissions.
  - Highlights: Use of electric vans, cycle couriers, and fuel-efficient driving methods.

2. DPD
  - Eco Initiatives: DPD has pledged to be the greenest delivery company in the UK. They have committed to making every parcel delivered by their all-electric fleet in 25 UK cities by 2023. DPD's aim is to achieve a 30% reduction in CO₂ emissions per parcel.
  - Highlights: Largest electric vehicle fleet of any UK delivery company and a carbon-neutral parcel delivery service called 'DPD Green.'

3. Evri
  - Eco Initiatives: Evri has launched a fleet of electric vans and e-cargo bikes and is aiming to reduce carbon emissions by 50% by 2025. They also use recyclable packaging and have introduced eco-friendly paper labels.
  - Highlights: Investment in electric vehicles, renewable energy, and sustainable packaging.

4. Royal Mail
  - Eco Initiatives: The Royal Mail has committed to reaching net-zero carbon emissions by 2045. They are introducing electric vehicles, opting for bio-fuels where possible, use 100% renewable energy across their whole estate and investing in electric bicycles and hydrogen-powered vehicles. They claim that they are the most eco-friendly delivery partner in the UK currently and given the involvement of a vast network of last mile posties delivery on foot this may well be true. Their “hand to the postman/-woman” returns option is a great initiative and must be hugely efficient in environmental terms.
  - Highlights: Large fleet of electric vans and a trial of e-cargo bikes in urban areas.

5. Zedify
  - Eco Initiatives: Zedify specializes in zero-emission deliveries using cargo bikes and e-bikes for last-mile deliveries. They operate in multiple UK cities and work with businesses that prioritize sustainability.
  - Highlights: 100% zero-emission delivery services.

6. Pedal Me
  - Eco Initiatives: Pedal Me offers zero-emission delivery services using cargo bikes in London. They use pedal-powered and electric-assisted bikes for moving goods, providing an eco-friendly alternative to traditional delivery vehicles.
  - Highlights: A completely bike-based delivery service reducing urban congestion and emissions.

7. Ocado
  - Eco Initiatives: Although primarily a grocery delivery service, Ocado has one of the most eco-friendly logistics operations. They use electric delivery vans and have developed fuel-efficient routing algorithms to reduce miles traveled. Their warehouses also use 100% renewable energy.
  - Highlights: Use of electric and low-emission vehicles, carbon offsetting, and recycling initiatives.

8. Green Courier
  - Eco Initiatives: One of the UK's leading environmentally-friendly courier services, Green Courier utilises a variety of eco-friendly modes of transportation, including bicycles, electric vans, and hybrid vehicles.
  - Highlights: Carbon-neutral deliveries and an extensive use of bicycles in urban areas.

Key Considerations for Eco-Friendly Delivery Companies
- Electric & Low-Emission Vehicles: Companies with large fleets of electric or hybrid vehicles have a smaller carbon footprint.
- Cycle Couriers: Use of bicycles or e-bikes for last-mile delivery is a great way to reduce emissions in urban areas.
- Carbon Offset Programs: Many companies offer carbon offsetting options, allowing customers to neutralize the impact of their deliveries.
- Renewable Energy: Warehouses and distribution centers powered by renewable energy sources contribute to overall sustainability.

Top Eco Pick: Among these, Green Courrier, PedalMe and Zedify stand out as leaders in sustainability, with DPD having the most extensive electric fleet and Zedify offering 100% zero-emission delivery options.

The most innovative online stores on the internet

Here’s a curated list of some of the most innovative and unusual online stores I’ve come across, all remarkable for their creativity, unique products, and exceptional shopping experiences:

1. Uncommon Goods

• What Makes It Unique: Offers a wide range of quirky, handcrafted, and eco-friendly products. Their selection includes items like reclaimed wood iPhone docking stations, handmade jewelry, and personalised gifts.  Sells to the UK as well as the US.

• Innovative Features: Emphasises sustainability, offers an “Uncommon Perks” membership for free shipping, and has a voting system where customers can help decide which products to sell.

2. Thingiverse

• What Makes It Unique: A community-driven platform for 3D printing enthusiasts, Thingiverse allows users to share, download, and print 3D models.

• Innovative Features: Completely open-source, the platform encourages creativity by allowing people to design, customize, and print their own items at home.  You want a 3D printed McDonald’s knuckleduster?  This is the place for you.

3. The Grommet

• What Makes It Unique: Features products from independent makers, inventors, and small businesses. Many of the products are first-to-market, making it an excellent place to discover new trends.  Someone needs to bring this to the UK very soon.  Also the nearest real life thing to Private Eye’s Gnomemart.

• Innovative Features: Storytelling is central, as The Grommet highlights the stories of the creators behind the products, adding a personal touch to online shopping.

4. Etsy

• What Makes It Unique: A global marketplace for handmade, vintage, and unique goods. Shoppers can find everything from custom-made furniture to niche craft supplies.

• Innovative Features: Offers customisation options, supporting small-scale artisans, and the chance to buy directly from independent sellers worldwide.

5. Firebox

• What Makes It Unique: Specialises in quirky, humorous, and unique gifts, such as personalised Face Socks, “plantable” pencils that grow into herbs, and glow-in-the-dark constellation bedding.

• Innovative Features: Offers “Create Your Own” options for personalised gifts and is known for its humorous product descriptions, making shopping entertaining.  I mean who doesn’t need “freshly baked bread slippers”?

6. Fab

• What Makes It Unique: Focuses on modern, design-centric products across categories like home decor, tech gadgets, and accessories.

• Innovative Features: Offers daily curated sales and showcases products that blend aesthetics with functionality, featuring exclusive designs from emerging artists.  There are 5 stores in the north west of England as well as an online store.


7. BoxFox

• What Makes It Unique: A platform for custom gift boxes that allows you to choose items from a curated collection and have them packed in a sleek, personalised box.  Just US for now but this has to come to the UK soon!

• Innovative Features: An easy drag-and-drop interface to build your own box, with high-quality gifts that are beautifully packaged, making it ideal for unique and thoughtful gift-giving.


8. Rent the Runway

• What Makes It Unique: Allows users to rent high-end fashion for a fraction of the cost, making luxury fashion accessible without the hefty price tag.  You can buy the outfits as well if you prefer. Must surely be coming to the UK soon?

• Innovative Features: Offers subscription services, so customers can regularly receive new outfits, and has introduced a circular fashion model to promote sustainability.

9. Museum of Modern Art (MoMA) Design Store

• What Makes It Unique: Sells products inspired by or sourced directly from the world of modern art and design, such as limited-edition prints, modernist homeware, and art books.  Who in their right mind would not want a Brionvega Radiofonografo Radio and Turntable for £18,000?

• Innovative Features: Every item is curated with a design-first philosophy, giving shoppers access to unique, artistic products that are often exclusive to MoMA.


10. Unclaimed Baggage

• What Makes It Unique: This unusual online store sells unclaimed luggage contents that airports couldn’t reunite with their owners.  Just US for now but surely we can bring this to the UK?

• Innovative Features: You can buy “mystery” boxes of random items, adding an element of surprise and treasure-hunting to online shopping.

How has Brexit affected eCommerce in the UK and EU?

(From bbc.co.uk)

The UK’s decision to leave the European Union, which came into effect at the beginning of 2021 under the terms of the UK/EU TCA, has significantly impacted UK e-commerce in several ways, affecting both domestic and international operations. Here’s a breakdown of the key effects:

1. Cross-Border Trade Challenges

• Increased Costs: UK e-commerce retailers face increased costs when exporting to the EU due to tariffs, customs duties, and VAT charges. Similarly, EU customers buying from UK sellers have seen additional charges, making products more expensive.
• Customs Delays: New customs procedures as a result of the UK’s choice to stay outside the EU customs union have led to delays in cross-border shipments, impacting delivery times and causing disruptions in supply chains. This has made some EU customers reluctant to purchase from UK-based e-commerce platforms.
• Return Complications: Returning goods across borders has become more complex and expensive, leading to a drop in sales from EU customers who are now more hesitant due to concerns about the ease of returns.

2. VAT Changes

• VAT Registration Requirements: The UK’s exit from the EU VAT system means that UK sellers exporting to the EU need to be VAT registered in each EU country where they exceed specific sales thresholds. This has increased the administrative burden and costs for e-commerce businesses.
• OSS (One Stop Shop): The EU introduced the One Stop Shop (OSS) scheme to simplify VAT compliance for non-EU sellers. However, UK sellers still need to adapt to new VAT obligations, adding complexity to their operations.

3. Supply Chain Disruptions

• Border Controls and Import Delays: New border checks have disrupted the flow of goods, resulting in longer delivery times and increased operational costs for e-commerce companies relying on international suppliers.
• Stockpiling and Inventory Management: Many businesses resorted to stockpiling to mitigate potential disruptions, tying up capital in inventory and causing storage issues.

4. Increased Costs and Administrative Burdens

• Higher Shipping Costs: Shipping rates for parcels between the UK and EU have risen due to additional customs fees and handling charges. This has led to higher prices for consumers or reduced profit margins for sellers.
• Administrative Complexity: E-commerce businesses have had to adapt to new paperwork, regulations, and compliance requirements, leading to increased costs and resource allocation to manage these changes.

5. Shifting Trade Relationships

• Loss of EU Customers: Many UK e-commerce businesses have seen a decline in sales from EU customers due to increased costs, delivery delays, and perceived inconvenience.
• Focus on Domestic and Non-EU Markets: In response, some UK e-commerce companies are refocusing their efforts on domestic sales or expanding into non-EU markets to offset the loss of EU trade. Several providers such as Globalfy and USADrop now offer relatively painless access to the US market for example as traders seek to replace lost European business.

6. Impact on Smaller Businesses

• Challenges for SMEs: Smaller e-commerce businesses have been hit hardest, as they often lack the resources to manage the increased costs and administrative burdens. Many have struggled to adapt, and some have stopped selling to the EU altogether. Setting up an registered EU business and in many cases duplicating warehousing are an obvious but costly workaround.

7. Changes in Consumer Behavior

• Consumer Hesitancy: EU consumers have become more cautious about ordering from the UK due to concerns about extra charges, customs delays, and difficulties with returns, leading to a decline in cross-border sales.

Overall Impact

While some larger e-commerce companies have adapted to the changes brought about by Brexit, smaller businesses have struggled with increased costs, supply chain disruptions, and complex regulatory requirements. As a result, Brexit has generally made it considerably more difficult and expensive for UK e-commerce firms to trade with the EU, leading to a reduction in sales, changes in trading strategies, and a shift toward focusing on domestic markets or exploring new international opportunities.

Personally I have no doubt at all that the UK eCommerce sector, not to mention the wider economy would benefit enormously from rejoining the Single Market and the Customs Union and suspect it is only a matter of time before “trade gravity” becomes overwhelmingly influential in shifting political priorities.